South Pacific Research Articles

Molecular diversity of black corals from the Saudi Arabian Red Sea: a first assessment

Black corals occur as part of benthic assemblages from shallow to deep waters in all oceans. Despite the importance in many benthic ecosystems, where these act as biodiversity aggregators, antipatharians remain poorly studied, with 75% of the known species occurring below recreational SCUBA diving depth limits. Currently, information regarding the diversity and evolutionary history is limited, with most studies focusing on Hawaii and the South Pacific Ocean. Other regions of the world have received less attention, such as the Red Sea, where only two black coral families and four genera have been recorded. We provide the first analysis of the molecular diversity of black corals in the eastern Gulf of Aqaba and the northern and central Saudi Arabian Red Sea, based on a dataset of 161 antipatharian colonies collected down to 627 m deep. Based on specimen morphology, we ascribed our material to 11 genera belonging to 4 of the 7 known Antipatharia families, i.e. Antipathidae, Aphanipathidae, Myriopathidae and Schizopathidae. The genus level phylogeny of three intergenic mitochondrial regions, the trnW-IGR-nad2 (IgrW), nad5-IGR-nad1 (IgrN) and cox3-IGR-cox1 was reconstructed including previously published material. Overall, we recovered six molecular clades that included exclusively Red Sea sequences, with the highest diversity occurring at mesophotic depths. This study highlights that diversity of black corals in the Red Sea is much higher than previously known, with seven new generic records, suggesting that this basin may be a hotspot for antipatharian diversity as is known for other taxa. Our results recovered unresolved relationships within the order at the familial and generic levels. This emphasises the urgent need for an integration of genomic-wide data with a re-examination of informative morphological features necessary to revise the systematics of the order at all taxonomic levels.

Modeling of Economic And Military Expenditure of South Pacific Countries to Increase the Role of Indonesian Diplomacy through the South Pacific Defense Ministers Meeting (SPDMM) Forum

The South Pacific is a western lake for the West, Asia and China. This is because of its strategic location, abundant natural resources but minimal human resources in managing it, so that this region becomes a contest for superpower state hegemony. The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship of causality, response in case of shock from a variable through impulse response, long-term and short-term effects of economic growth variables, investment, foreign debt, exports, imports and military expenditure, and forecasting based on actual data up to 2045. The method used in this study is VECM / VAR. Data collection was obtained from reports from the Ministry of Defense, Ministry of Economic Affairs, literature studies and previous research.

The Response of the Upper Ocean to Tropical Cyclones in the South Pacific

AbstractConsecutive Argo float profiles are used to observe upper ocean changes resulting from the passage of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the South Pacific between 2001 and 2023. Cross‐sectional composites of the ocean response are produced by normalizing the distance between the profile and cyclone track by the 34‐knot wind radius (R34) of each TC to better resolve the average changes in water properties. Surface cooling in the initial mixed layer (ML) extends from the center to about twice R34 and is stronger to the left of the TC track. Subsurface warming at the base of the ML is observed between 0.4 and 2 R34 on both sides of the track. Strong cooling is observed in a distinct core directly under the TC path, reaching temperature changes of over −1.6°C between 70 and 450 m depth. Significant upwelling of over 40 m displacement is observed within ±0.05 R34, extending to 1,000 m depth. Surface cooling (and subsurface warming at the base of the ML) are positively correlated with wind stress on the ocean from the TC, quantified by the Local Wind Power Dissipation (PDL), and negatively correlated with the energy required to destratify the upper ocean, defined by a Cooling Inhibition index (CI). Subsurface warming is common with low CI but is not observed with high CI. We demonstrate an improved method to analyze Argo float data for measuring TC‐upper ocean interaction in remote oceans and the usefulness of PDL and CI in calibrating the TC‐ocean interaction.

Unprecedented cross-equatorial southerly wind anomalies during the 2020–2023 triple-dip La Niña: Impacts and mechanisms

The 2020–2023 La Niña event, the third triple-dip occurrence since 1950, stands out for its unique characteristics when compared to the preceding events in 1973–1976 and 1998–2001. Unlike its predecessors, the latest event emerged without a preceding strong El Niño episode, starting from a state of weak discharge. Moreover, the resurgence of cold sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies during 2020–2023 showed a loose link to ocean-atmosphere variability in the northern subtropical Pacific. The spatial pattern of anomalous conditions in this recent event featured persistent SST cooling in the southeast tropical Pacific, accompanied by pronounced meridional southerly wind anomalies. Our comprehensive investigation indicates a minimal role of subsurface ocean dynamics, underscoring the exceptional strength of cross-equatorial meridional southerly wind anomalies as a primary driver of sustained negative sea surface temperature anomalies. By considering the influences of intra-basin and inter-basin factors, we propose that the observed patterns may be the combined outcome of interannual variability within the tropical Pacific and decadal variations beyond the tropics. Noteworthy contributions from the low-frequency components of the South Pacific Meridional Mode and the Atlantic Warm Pool further shape the dynamics of this event. Our findings underline the increasing importance of meridional winds in shaping the evolution of ENSO in recent decades.

New shark in the park: Tiger shark Galeocerdo cuvier observations in the remote South Pacific.

We present the first photographic records of the tiger shark (Galeocerdo cuvier) at the remote Rapa Nui (Easter Island) in the south-east Pacific. Previous anecdotal sightings exist for tiger sharks in this region; however these records have not been reported within the scientific domain. The present sighting occurred in a period of unusually warm sea surface temperature, which has been shown to influence tiger shark range extensions elsewhere. Novel and historic species occurrence records are valuable for determining and predicting species' environmental tolerances, migratory routes, and distributional limits.

Atmospheric Rivers in South-Central Chile: Zonal and Tilted Events

The extratropical west coast of South America has one of the largest frequencies of landfalling atmospheric rivers (ARs), with dozens of events per season that account for ~50% of the annual precipitation and can produce extreme rainfall events in south-central Chile. Most ARs form an acute angle with the Andes, but, in some cases, the moist stream impinges nearly perpendicular to the mountains, referred to as zonal atmospheric rivers (ZARs). Enhanced surface-based and upper-air measurements in Concepcion (36.8° S), as well as numerical simulations, were used to characterize a ZAR and a meridionally oriented AR in July 2022. They represent extremes of the broad distribution of winter storms in this region and exhibit key features that were found in a composite analysis based on larger samples of ZARs and tilted ARs. The latter is associated with an upper-level trough, broad-scale ascent, extratropical cyclone, and cold front reaching southern Chile. Instead, ZARs are associated with tropospheric-deep, strong zonal flow and a stationary front across the South Pacific, with ascent restricted upstream of the Andes. Consequently, ZARs have minimum precipitation offshore but a marked orographic precipitation enhancement and exhibit relatively warm temperatures, thus resulting in an augmented risk of hydrometeorological extreme events.

Registration of the atmospheric effect of the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption

The paper presents the results of recording of acoustic waves, caused by the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption in the South Pacific Ocean on January 15, 2022, in Eastern Siberia at a distance of about 11230 km from the eruption. The received acoustic signal is interpreted as a set of atmospheric waves in a wide range of oscillations. The structure of the signal is similar to signals from the previously known powerful sources: the thermonuclear explosion on Novaya Zemlya in 1961 and the explosion of the Tunguska meteorite in 1908. The acoustic signal was preceded by three trains of low-frequency damped oscillations. We assume that these three trains of oscillations are associated with three important stages in the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption: 1) destruction of Tonga island and formation of an underwater caldera; 2) release of hot magma from the caldera to the ocean surface and release of a large volume of superheated steam into the atmosphere 3) formation of a layered structure from a mixture of superheated steam, ash, and tephra on the ocean surface and formation of an eruptive convective column. Successive phases of the eruption might have contributed to the excitation of acoustic vibrations in a wide range of periods including Lamb waves, internal gravity waves (IGW), and infrasound. We compare the structure of the acoustic signal received in Siberia at a distance of more than 11000 km from the volcano and that of the acoustic signal recorded in Alaska at a distance of more than 9300 km. Using the solution of the linearized Korteweg — de Vries equation, we estimate the energy released during the volcanic eruption.

О регистрации атмосферного эффекта извержения вулкана Хунга-Тонга

The paper presents the results of recording of acoustic waves, caused by the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption in the South Pacific Ocean on January 15, 2022, in Eastern Siberia at a distance of about 11230 km from the eruption. The received acoustic signal is interpreted as a set of atmospheric waves in a wide range of oscillations. The structure of the signal is similar to signals from the previously known powerful sources: the thermonuclear explosion on Novaya Zemlya in 1961 and the explosion of the Tunguska meteorite in 1908. The acoustic signal was preceded by three trains of low-frequency damped oscillations. We assume that these three trains of oscillations are associated with three important stages in the Hunga Tonga volcano eruption: 1) destruction of Tonga island and formation of an underwater caldera; 2) release of hot magma from the caldera to the ocean surface and release of a large volume of superheated steam into the atmosphere 3) formation of a layered structure from a mixture of superheated steam, ash, and tephra on the ocean surface and formation of an eruptive convective column. Successive phases of the eruption might have contributed to the excitation of acoustic vibrations in a wide range of periods including Lamb waves, internal gravity waves (IGW), and infrasound. We compare the structure of the acoustic signal received in Siberia at a distance of more than 11000 km from the volcano and that of the acoustic signal recorded in Alaska at a distance of more than 9300 km. Using the solution of the linearized Korteweg — de Vries equation, we estimate the energy released during the volcanic eruption.

Principles to guide research and policy on psychological well-being in remote island developing states in the South Pacific.

Adverse climatic changes around the globe and predictions of catastrophic and irreversible alteration in global weather patterns, temperature rise, and coast-line habitability require a careful examination of consequences on the resilience and mental health of people who will endure these changes. This paper is concerned with the South Pacific region. This geography has benefited from a relatively stable climate that is seen in the lush and vibrant natural world with many unique species of plants and animals exclusively found here. This paper examines the psychological profile of the people in the South Pacific using an evolutionary framework, and considers their local climate risks and lifestyle patterns with the aim of exploring possible mental health trajectories.

China’s Increasing Influence: What This Means for American Security

Purpose: With its growing domestic and international interest, China has solidified itself as a significant player in international relations, shaking up traditional geopolitics through its military and economic expansion and shifting focus in diplomatic relations. Consequently, it is crucial to understand China’s importance and effect on the United States’ own development in order to react to it correctly and efficiently.
 Methodology: This paper will detail the military, diplomatic, and economic aspects of the modern rise of China, respectively, including our recommendations for how the United States should respond to these three key areas in its relations with China. To do so, the International Relations Organization at Virginia Tech split into three initiatives, focusing on the three aspects of the modern rise of China as listed above. The Organization then spent several weeks conducting research using open-source intelligence and information from experts on the subject to understand the methods and strategies employed by China to expand its influence and power in other nations. After conducting research, the Organization began discussing the implications that the findings would have on U.S. national security and started synthesizing the research into our paper and recommendations.
 Findings: From our research, it is clear that China is seeking to build a strong military presence in Africa to expand their influence and reach in areas outside of Asia. Additionally, their maintenance of diplomacy with Russian and alliance with President Vladimir Putin makes it evident that they are desiring to position themselves as a contrasting force to the United States in terms of global military dominance. China’s goal of reunification with Taiwan furthers this notion, as in doing so they intend to increase its presence in the South Pacific arena. In terms of China’s diplomacy, we find their creation of the BRICS trade agreement to significantly increase their ties with the countries involved. We find China to be progressively focusing on their diplomatic relations with the BRICS countries, which in turn threatens the U.S. diplomatic relations with these countries and undermines their power and strength as a global superpower among the Eastern sphere. Lastly, China’s influence on the BRICS countries has lasting economic repercussions on the U.S. through the creation of BRICS itself, which we find to clearly be done to oppose the U.S.’ G7 trade agreement. We conclude that this, along with their Belt and Road Initiative and new presence in South American trade, is done as a method for China to compete with the trade dominance of the United States and widen the gap between these countries and the U.S. economically.
 Unique Contribution to Theory, Practice and Policy: To combat China’s military involvement in Africa, we recommend for the United States to lean on its international allies to formulate an arms deal with other countries in order to formulate a better long-term arms deal, dismissing possible transactions with China. In terms of dealing with military expansion in the South Pacific, we recommend the U.S. to undertake policies to put an end to China’s maritime power in the Pacific and increase funding for the Air Force and Navy to invest in new technologies to deal with such power. We also recommend for the United States to promote diplomatic cooperation with Brazil, Russia, India, and South America to combat China’s increasing influence with these countries in BRICS. The United States must also focus on better positioning their diplomatic stance to be allied with nations continuing to push for bilateral issues and human rights conferences in Brazil and India, as well as support India in their push for UN Security Council membership. On the economic side, the United States must respond to China’s infrastructure plan for their economy by investing in other forms of development, such as agriculture, medicine, and digital infrastructure. This paper contributed to the theory of International Affairs and U.S.-China relations through analyzing various diplomatic, economic, and militaristic outlooks with the aims of providing a cohesive study on the level of threat towards American security. The theory of International Relations was augmented via the research and delineation of applicable studies and global conflicts. Thorough examination of included sources contributed to this theory and the practice of IR.

Adjoint inversion of antipodal PKPab waveforms for P wave velocity anomaly at the base of the lower mantle

We perform an adjoint inversion by using antipodal PKPab phases to estimate the heterogeneous Vp structure at the base of the lowermost mantle. We have carefully examined antipodal stations with high S/N ratios during the past 30 years and selected 20 source-receiver pairs with the epicentral distances >179.0 degree and the Mw <7.0. We have used the spectral-element method on the Earth Simulator of JAMSTEC to calculate the synthetic seismograms for a heterogeneous mantle Vp model with the accuracy of period about 8 s (110 km wavelength at the CMB). We have set up the time window to retrieve the PKPab phase from the vertical component of both observed and computed seismograms to calculate the adjoint source to obtain the sensitivity kernels of Vp in the mantle. The computed Vp sensitivity kernel for each event shows the characteristic annulus pattern in the lowermost mantle, which covers a large area of the CMB. The twenty PKPab earthquake-station pairs in this antipodal study contribute the equivalent of about 3140 measurements at the CMB—compared with 1871 previously studied—and provide new data. Therefore, although the number of individual source-receiver pairs is not large, the summed sensitivity kernels of the PKPab phase for Vp structure at the base of the mantle may be sufficient to model heterogeneity of the Vp structure at the CMB. We summed each event kernel to set up a sensitivity kernel of Vp in the lowermost mantle and iterated the inversion to estimate a heterogeneous structure in D″. Although we have iterations that dominantly affect both South America and the South Pacific, the summary final model shows features within South of Africa, South Pacific, SE Australia, and Central & South America. Keeping the Vs model fixed, we map the CMB Vp heterogeneity measured by the parameter Rs,p = dlnVs/dlnVp and find qualitative, proximal correspondence with the degree-2 pattern of Large Low Velocity Shear Provinces observed in shear tomographic models: in the Pacific and Africa Rs,p > 2.0, whereas the surrounding edges of the edges of the Pacific show Rs,p < 2.0.

Lagged effect of Southern Annular Mode on chlorophyll-a in the mid-latitude South Pacific and Indian Oceans

This study investigates the influence of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) concentrations and the underlying mechanisms governing their associated environmental variations in the mid-latitude (35–50° S) ocean from 1998 to 2021. The intensification of westerly winds during positive SAM phases influences meridional water transport and mixed layer depth (MLD), which are both critical factors that affect surface nutrient availability. A marked contrast in the relationship between the meridional current anomaly and the SAM was observed, with reduced northward transport of nutrient-rich water in regions north of 50° S during positive SAM phases. This reduction could be attributed to the poleward migration of the westerly winds, which impeded the meridional current from reaching the mid-latitudes. The relationship between SAM and MLD south of 50° S was positive whereas that in the mid-latitude eastern (60–110° E) South Indian Ocean and eastern (90–140° W) South Pacific Ocean was negative or weak. The immediate effect of a more positive SAM on Chl-a in the mid-latitude ocean was reduced productivity caused by enhanced nutrient depletion. However, in the mid-latitude eastern South Pacific Ocean, the northward migration of the zonal mean meridional current anomaly closely aligned with the lagged correlation pattern between SAM variability and Chl-a over time, suggesting that the delayed northward transport of nutrient-rich waters may partially counterbalance the immediate effects of the SAM on ocean productivity. This mechanism was not present in the mid-latitude eastern South Indian Ocean, implying that future climate change may variably affect these regions. Our findings emphasize the importance of considering regional differences and temporal lags when evaluating the influence of SAM variability on ocean productivity and nutrient dynamics in the context of climate change.

Investigating a Possible Correlation between NOAA-Satellite-Detected Electron Precipitations and South Pacific Tectonic Events

On 4 March 2021, a devastating M8.1 earthquake struck the Kermadec Islands of New Zealand. Given the tremendous energy released during the event, we sought to investigate the event’s potential impact on the ionosphere and the inner Van Allen Belt using data from the high-energy electron detectors on board the NOAA-18 satellite. The survey was also extended to the strongest shallow M6.5+ earthquakes occurring between 150° and 190° in longitude, and between −5° and −35° in latitude over the previous ten years. In nearly all cases, evident electron fluxes entering the loss cone were observed. To explore the possibility of a connection between ionospheric signals and tectonic events in this intensely active region, we analyzed electron losses from the inner Van Allen Belt, taking into account latitude, longitude, day/night times, and proximity to the South Atlantic Anomaly. Compared to previous studies, here only the most significant loss phenomena persistent in the ionosphere were considered. Particular interest was reserved for the intense electron loss events that had a duration spanning from a few to several minutes and occurred several hours before and after strong seismic events. Thereafter, time series of electron counting rates and strong Southern Pacific earthquakes were transformed into binary series, and the series multiplication was investigated. The results suggest four peaks of association, including a first couple between electron perturbations detected for ascending semi-orbits and seismic events and a second one between electron perturbations detected in the southern ionosphere and seismic events. They both anticipated the occurrence of earthquakes, occurring around 4 h before them. Other couples were observed between electron perturbations detected for descending semi-orbits and seismic events and between electron perturbations detected in the northern ionosphere and seismic events. They both occurred around 3 h after the occurrence of earthquakes. The case of perturbations anticipating seismic events has the intriguing properties of sustaining the hypothesis that a physical interaction occurred around 6 h before seismic events as in the West Pacific case. A physical model of electrons detected far several thousands of km from the earthquake epicenters was also presented. However, a simulation of random seismic events suggested that the null hypothesis cannot be fully rejected for these associations, prompting many more analyses and case studies.

Global conservation genomics of blue whales calls into question subspecies taxonomy and refines knowledge of population structure

AbstractBlue whales (Balaenoptera musculus) are the largest living animal and, like other baleen whales, became endangered due to whaling. Here, we used population genomics to infer the number, distribution and other characteristics of subspecies and populations. We used the largest DNA dataset in blue whales, both in terms of genomic markers (16,661 SNPs and mtDNA) and geographic coverage (n = 276 for SNPs; n = 531 for mtDNA). We found greatest divergence among the eastern Pacific, Indo‐western Pacific and Antarctic blue whales. There were indications that natural selection in different environments promoted divergence among these groupings. Within these regions, there was divergence between the eastern North and eastern South Pacific, and among the eastern Indian Ocean, the western South Pacific and the northern Indian Ocean. There was no divergence within the Antarctic. These findings are consistent with the current classification of Antarctic and Indo‐western Pacific blue whales in the Southern Hemisphere as different subspecies but call into question the subspecies taxonomy of eastern Pacific blue whales. The study shows that opposite breeding seasons on either side of the equator do not necessarily inhibit connectivity across the equator, and reinforces that population structure needs to be well understood to conserve the diversity within species.

Nontuberculous mycobacteria testing and culture positivity in the United States

BackgroundNontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) are environmental bacteria which may cause chronic lung disease. The prevalence of NTM pulmonary infection and disease has been increasing in the United States and globally. The predominant clinically relevant species of NTM in the United States are Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) species and Mycobacterium abscessus. With the development of rapid species identification methods for NTM (e.g. PCR probes), more testing for NTM is being conducted through commercial labs, such as Laboratory Corporation of America (Labcorp), which provides deidentified real-time testing data to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) pursuant to a data sharing agreement. Because NTM lung infections are not reportable in most states, other data sources are key to understanding NTM testing patterns, positivity rates, and species distributions to track infection trends and identify clinical care needs.MethodsWe obtained national Labcorp data for the period January 2019 through mid-April 2022. We subset the data to only respiratory samples sent for Acid Fast Bacilli (AFB) cultures. NTM positive results were defined as those which identified an NTM species and are not Mycobacterium tuberculosis, Mycobacterium bovis, or Mycobacterium gordonae.ResultsOverall, 112,528 respiratory samples were sent for AFB testing during the study period; 26.3% were from the Southeast U.S., identified as HSS Region IV in the Labcorp dataset, and 23.0% were from the Pacific and South Pacific region (Region IX). The culture positive prevalence ranged from 20.2% in the Southeast to 9.2% in the East North Central region (Region V). In the Southeast US, M. abscessus prevalence was 4.0%. For MAC, the highest prevalence was observed in the Mountain region (Region VII) (13.5%) and the lowest proportion was in the East South Central region (7.3%, Region III). Among positive tests, the proportion which was MAC varied from 61.8% to 88.9% and was highest in the Northeast U.S. The proportion of positive samples which were M. abscessus ranged from 3.8% to 19.7% and was highest in the Southeast.ConclusionsThe Southeastern region of the U.S. has the highest rate of culture positivity in Labcorp tests for total NTM and, of all positive tests, the highest proportion of M.abscessus. These estimates may underrepresent the true number of M.abscessus infections because M. absesscus-specific probes are not commercially available and not all NTM testing in the United States is done by Labcorp. Analysis of real-time testing data from commercial laboratories may provide insights into risk factors for NTM culture positivity in ‘hotspot’ areas.

Abundance and potential sources of floating polystyrene foam macro- and microplastics around Japan

Polystyrene foam is widely used due to its lightweight, impact resistance, and excellent thermal insulation properties. Meanwhile, weak adhesion between beads in polystyrene foam leads to fragmentation, generating a substantial amount of microplastics (<5 mm). Such polystyrene foam debris littered on beaches diminishes the aesthetic value of coastal areas, negatively impacting tourism. Due to its density lower than other plastics, polystyrene foam macroplastics float on the sea surface and, thus, they are significantly influenced by wind drag during oceanic transport. In contrast, polystyrene foam microplastics drifting beneath the sea surface are carried mostly by ocean currents. These properties of polystyrene foam macroplastics and microplastics hinder the elucidation of their transport, distribution, and fate in nature, despite their potential to adversely impact marine ecosystems. To elucidate the generation, transport, and fragmentation processes of polystyrene foam ocean plastics, we conducted concurrent visual observations and surface net towing from seven training vessels around Japan during 2014–2020. Overall, the abundances of polystyrene foam ocean plastics were higher in the Sea of Japan than in the North Pacific south of Japan. The average abundances of polystyrene foam microplastics and macroplastics were 0.33 pieces/m3 and 0.45 pieces/km, respectively, over the entire sea area around Japan. In the Sea of Japan, the peak abundances of polystyrene foam macroplastics occurred in upstream of the Tsushima Current, while the peak for microplastics occurred downstream, suggesting that continuous fragmentation occurred during transport between the two peaks. Backward-in-time particle tracking model experiments suggested that the sources of polystyrene foam macroplastics observed in the Sea of Japan included aquaculture buoys and styrene debris beached around the Tsushima Strait. The present study demonstrated that reducing the release of polystyrene foam aquaculture floats will likely diminish the abundance of ocean plastics in the Sea of Japan.

Impacts of El Niño diversity on East Asian summertime precipitation extremes

AbstractThis study examines the impacts of Eastern Pacific (EP) and Central Pacific (CP) El Niño on summertime extreme precipitation over East Asia during the El Niño decay phase. The findings reveal distinct patterns of extreme precipitation for the two El Niño types. During EP El Niño, more intense extreme precipitation occurs over south of the Yangtze River (SYR), while suppressed extremes are observed over Mei-Yu rainband in China, Baiu in Japan, and Changma in South Korea (MBC). Conversely, CP El Niño leads to weaker (stronger) extreme precipitation over SYR (MBC). This study also differentiates between tropical cyclone (TC) and non-TC related precipitation, showing that TCs have minimal influence on the overall extreme precipitation compared to non-TC related events. Further investigation reveals that EP and CP El Niño distinctly influence atmospheric circulation patterns, thereby causing different distributions of non-TC extreme precipitation. Specifically, during EP El Niño, sea surface temperature (SST) warming signals in the tropical Indian Ocean induce the southward displacement of the South Asia High (SAH), westerly jet (WJ), and Western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). This amplifies moisture flux convergence, elevating the likelihood of intense extreme precipitation over SYR. Conversely, MBC experiences moisture flux divergence, resulting in fewer precipitation extremes. During CP El Niño, SST warming signals in the Maritime Continent prompt the northward shift of SAH, WJ, and WPSH by modulating local Hadley circulations. These anomalies lead to strengthened moisture convergence (divergence) over MBC (SYR), consequently resulting in a higher (lower) likelihood of intense extreme precipitation over MBC (SYR).

Trade Openness and Economic Growth: Evidence from Countries in Asia and the South Pacific

Abstract This study examines the relationship between trade openness and economic growth across selected Asian and South Pacific countries from 2000 to 2021. Key indicators on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate, foreign debt, export values, and inflation are analyzed for insights into economic dynamics. Positive correlations between foreign debt and export values suggest export utilization to alleviate debt. Conversely, negative correlations between inflation and export values underscore challenges during inflationary periods, emphasizing need for effective inflation management. Fixed Effects Model analysis unveils coefficients for independent variables, highlighting their impact on GDP. The study's explanatory power, measured by the R-squared value, underscores the collective influence of these variables on GDP variation. Policy implications stress the importance of export promotion strategies to bolster revenue amidst high foreign debt levels. Effective inflation management is vital to maintain export competitiveness. Prudent debt management emerges as crucial for economic stability. Future research should explore nuanced mechanisms linking trade openness and economic growth, tailored to each country's economic context. This approach can inform targeted policy recommendations, acknowledging diversity among nations. Globally, the study emphasizes interconnectedness among countries and the significance of collaborative efforts to navigate shared challenges and capitalize on mutual opportunities in the global economy. Keywords: Trade openness, Economic growth, Gross domestic product, Foreign debt, Fixed effects model.

Climatic interactions between cold surges in the South China Sea and North Pacific extratropical cyclones

AbstractCold surge events in the South China Sea (over 110–117.5° E longitude at 15° N latitude) from 1979 to 2019 are divided into four types depending on their correlation with North Pacific extratropical cyclones (ECs). Climatologic relationships between the two phenomena reveal that 92% (39%) of all cold surges are accompanied by ECs (explosive extratropical cyclones, abbreviated as EC‐E), while 31% of ECs are accompanied by cold surges. The occurrence and development of ECs favour eruptions of cold air from higher latitudes, which in turn produce conditions conducive to cold surges. In the North Pacific, ECs travel in a northeastward direction, ultimately contributing to the Aleutian low. Meanwhile, the westerly jet is observed to strengthen following cold surge events. Both actions drive further EC activity, which in turn facilitates subsequent cold surges. Therefore, when ECs occur before and after cold surges, the cold surge event itself tends to be relatively strong and long lived. The transmission of energy by ECs is a primary link between the high and middle latitudes and contributes to the impact of cold surges on low latitudes. This study also explores the respective influences of the Siberia High and Aleutian Low on cold surges. The majority of cold surges that do not involve ECs occur in the context of the weaker Siberia High and Aleutian Low. Cold surges accompanied with ECs can be even stronger and longer lasting when the Siberia High and Aleutian Low strengthen.

Formation and Variability of Barrier Layer in the South Pacific

AbstractThe oceanic barrier layer (BL), dominated by salinity stratification, plays an important role in regulating heat exchange between the mixed layer and the interior ocean. However, the salinity contribution is ignored or underestimated when analyses relying only on temperature threshold methods. Here we introduce the Turner Angle method to quantify the salinity contribution and to obtain relatively accurate BL thickness (BLT), and further to investigate the spatial‐temporal distribution, thickness variation and formation mechanism of the BL in the South Pacific using the updated Argo data during 2005–2021. With the successful usage of this method, we eliminate 41% of the invalid BLs and therefore improve the assessment of the BLs in the South Pacific. Formation of the thick BLs in the South Pacific is attributed to the faster deepening rate of the isothermal layer than the mixed layer. The deepening rate of the isothermal layer is facilitated by subsurface subantarctic mode water while that of the mixed layer is constrained by the subsurface salinity maximum in the South Pacific. On the interannual scale, the BLT in the South Pacific manifests a quasi‐biennial variability, which is closely connected with the variability in the isothermal layer depth and is primarily caused by the anomalous winds driven by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). The SAM‐related anomalous winds regulate the isothermal layer and further the BL by exerting influences air‐sea heat fluxes and the Ekman layer advection.